Title & Author: The End of Prosperity: How Higher Taxes Will Doom the Economy--If We Let it Happen by Arthur B. Laffer, Stephen Moore, and Peter J. Tanous
Genre: Nonfiction--Economics
My Rating: 9.0
Summed Up:
The malaise of the 1970s was caused by several key economic
problems: rampant inflation, high tax rates, a crushing regulatory burden, and
runaway government spending. By addressing those problem areas through
supply-side economics, Ronald Reagan was able to usher in twenty five years of
prosperity. More wealth was created in those twenty-five years than in the
previous two hundred.
When
economic policies reward growth that is exactly what happens. Incentives matter. Prosperity doesn’t happen
by accident, and growth must be nurtured and rewarded. The key is to stimulate
investment, not consumption. High taxes are a major depressant on investment,
work, effort, entrepreneurship, and risk. People are more likely to invest,
work, and live in areas where they can keep more of their income and more of
their returns on investment. High taxes force capitalism to try and succeed
without the capital needed for that to happen: capitalism without capital.
However, when politicians get
everything wrong—tax policy, regulatory policy, trade policy, monetary
policy—they can completely stifle and destroy growth. Almost always, these disastrous policies are
coated in good intentions, e.g. to help the poor, but the result is usually the
opposite. For example, liberal Democrats constantly try to raise taxes so the
rich pay their “fair share,” but it has been shown that higher tax rates
decrease the amount of revenue raised. I
loved this quote: “To us the best form of welfare is still a good high-paying
job. There is no alternative to economic growth. And a tax system that destroys
jobs and wealth is the most regressive tax of all.” (255)
The authors identify four killers
of growth: Trade protectionism; tax increases coupled with profligate
government spending; new regulations and increased government intervention in
the economy; and monetary policy mistakes. Supply-side theory on the other hand
is based on the following: free trade, stable prices and sound money, light and
efficient regulation, welfare reform to encourage work, a generous immigration
policy, and smaller government.
In regard to taxation, the authors
propose a low flat tax where everyone pays the same rate. This flat tax on
business and household income would only have to be 12 percent to retain the
same amount of government revenue. In fact, but lowering the tax rate and
increasing the tax base, revenue would increase because of the increased
economic activity sure to follow. This principle follows the idea of the Laffer
Curve which shows that increased tax rates decrease government revenue and lower
tax rates increase revenue. People work more when there are lower taxes, the
incentives to work are higher when people get to keep more of their money,
therefore economic production increases and the economy grows creating more
wealth to be taxed. For example, Russia, a recent adopter of a flat tax, gets
more revenues with a 13 percent flat tax than it did with the old rate of over
50 percent. Around the world, countries have switch to flat taxes and seen not
only their collected revenues soar, but their economic output skyrocket as
well.
Some critics of supply-side
economic policies call it “trickle-down economics” and bemoan an increasing gap
between the richest and poorest. The authors point out that this gap is not due
to the poor becoming poorer, in fact during these twenty five years the poor
have seen their income grow by the highest percent. The gap is due to many
Americans becoming fantastically rich. But, this increased wealth did not come
at the expense of the poor.
A large portion of the book is
dedicated to using historical examples to show how supply-side economic
policies have always lead to growth, lower unemployment, and increased quality of
living, while Keynesian policies lead to high unemployment, increased poverty,
and inflation. The final chapter of the book is an
excellent guide to managing your personal investments to weather economic
downturns and benefit from periods of growth.
You can read my review of The End of Prosperity here.